Wynnum Wolves vs Peninsula Power analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
2%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.3%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.5%
80.2%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
5.8%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17.5%
0-4
7.4%
1-5
3.4%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.4%
0-5
4.3%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
6.2%
0-6
2.1%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.8%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+150%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
2º
12º
5º
47
3º
11º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
87% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
70.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
70.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wynnum Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
GCK
9 - 0
WYN
83%
12%
6%
|
7 | 46 | 39 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
SOU
5 - 1
WYN
48%
22%
30%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Peninsula Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 3
QUE
40%
22%
39%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
GCK
5 - 0
PEN
55%
24%
22%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
GOL
1 - 3
PEN
36%
24%
41%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
PEN
3 - 1
RED
70%
17%
13%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
MOR
0 - 1
PEN
50%
21%
29%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |