WV-HEDW vs Swift analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
53.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
9º
15º
13º
38
2º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
52.5% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 42 |
8º
|
52.5% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
30.5% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 31 |
15º
|
69.5% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
69.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
30.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
WV-HEDW
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
HUI
5 - 1
HED
57%
23%
20%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
HED
0 - 3
AJA
33%
25%
43%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SJC
1 - 4
HED
70%
16%
15%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
HED
2 - 3
DHS
61%
19%
20%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
JOS
2 - 0
HED
57%
22%
22%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Swift
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SWI
2 - 0
HOO
44%
24%
32%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ALP
0 - 2
SWI
24%
23%
53%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SWI
3 - 2
TER
55%
22%
23%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SWI
3 - 2
HUI
35%
24%
41%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
AJA
7 - 2
SWI
41%
24%
35%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -2 |