WV-HEDW vs Quick '20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
72.2%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.9%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.7%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
WV-HEDW
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2016 |
HED
5 - 0
ALE
87%
9%
4%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
CSW
0 - 1
HED
50%
22%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ZWA
2 - 2
HED
77%
14%
9%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
HED
1 - 3
VIT
64%
18%
18%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
NOO
2 - 0
HED
70%
17%
13%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Quick '20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
QUI
1 - 0
HSC
28%
22%
50%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2016 |
JUL
3 - 2
QUI
48%
23%
29%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
QUI
4 - 1
RKH
72%
16%
12%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
HOL
1 - 2
QUI
21%
23%
55%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ALC
1 - 3
QUI
10%
17%
72%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | +1 |