WV-HEDW vs BOL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
20.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
9º
15º
13º
30
11º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
52.5% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 42 |
8º
|
52.5% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
30 | 31 |
15º
|
69.5% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
69.5% | 30.5% |
|
Relegation
|
30.5% | 69.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
WV-HEDW
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
HOL
4 - 2
HED
52%
24%
24%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
HED
4 - 2
TER
35%
21%
45%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
HED
1 - 2
HOO
31%
24%
46%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ALP
0 - 4
HED
38%
22%
40%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
HED
1 - 1
SWI
24%
23%
54%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
BOL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ALP
1 - 2
BOL
42%
22%
36%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
BOL
0 - 0
SWI
17%
22%
61%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
HUI
4 - 0
BOL
68%
19%
12%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
BOL
2 - 2
AJA
17%
23%
61%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SJC
2 - 1
BOL
75%
14%
11%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |