WV-HEDW vs AFC '34 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.6%
31.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
9º
15º
13º
54
2º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
52.5% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 42 |
8º
|
52.5% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
30.5% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 31 |
15º
|
69.5% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
69.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
30.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
WV-HEDW
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
ARC
6 - 0
HED
55%
22%
23%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
HED
0 - 2
PUR
38%
25%
38%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -2 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
SVH
1 - 2
HED
58%
21%
21%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
HED
3 - 0
BOL
61%
19%
20%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
HOL
4 - 2
HED
52%
24%
24%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
AFC '34
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
ALP
0 - 3
AFC
27%
21%
52%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
HUI
3 - 1
AFC
54%
23%
23%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
AFC
2 - 1
AJA
30%
25%
45%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
SJC
0 - 1
AFC
66%
16%
18%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
AFC
3 - 2
DHS
55%
20%
25%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |