Würzburger Kickers vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
26.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Würzburger Kickers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
CHE
0 - 1
WUR
43%
28%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
WUR
1 - 1
WER
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
HAL
1 - 3
WUR
50%
27%
24%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
WUR
1 - 0
MAI
40%
27%
33%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ERF
1 - 0
WUR
39%
28%
33%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
KÖL
1 - 3
STU
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
SGS
1 - 1
KÖL
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
KÖL
2 - 1
PRE
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
SGD
4 - 0
KÖL
61%
23%
17%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
KÖL
4 - 1
WEH
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |