Würzburger Kickers vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.2%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
9.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
2º
10º
3º
55
1º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 52 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
52 | 52 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
51 | 51 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
45 | 45 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
63.5% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
14º
|
63.5% | |
|
15º
|
37 | 38 |
15º
|
63.5% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
25 | 25 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 23 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Würzburger Kickers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
VIK
0 - 2
WUR
10%
19%
71%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
WUR
1 - 4
BAY
57%
22%
21%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
WUR
2 - 2
HOF
15%
19%
66%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
WUR
5 - 0
ANS
77%
15%
8%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
WAC
2 - 0
WUR
17%
23%
60%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | -2 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
BAY
1 - 0
GRE
38%
25%
37%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
VIK
1 - 0
BAY
24%
24%
53%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
BAY
0 - 1
SCH
47%
23%
30%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
BAY
4 - 2
BAY
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
BAY
1 - 0
EIN
68%
19%
13%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |