Oberliga Bayern North Relegation Semi-finals
Global 5-3
Würzburger Kickers II vs Jahn Forchheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
30%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Würzburger Kickers II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2016 |
WUR
2 - 0
TSK
80%
13%
7%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2016 |
TGH
0 - 2
WUR
30%
21%
48%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2016 |
WUR
3 - 0
TSE
79%
13%
7%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | +2 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
KLE
1 - 3
WUR
25%
21%
55%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
WUR
5 - 0
TNA
74%
15%
10%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Jahn Forchheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2016 |
JFO
4 - 0
FEU
36%
22%
42%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
SAN
5 - 2
JFO
62%
20%
19%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
JFO
0 - 1
GRO
25%
25%
49%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
DJJ
0 - 0
JFO
58%
20%
22%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
JFO
3 - 2
BAY
19%
23%
58%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | +2 |