Würzburger FV vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
55.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Würzburger FV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
KEM
0 - 3
WUR
42%
27%
31%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
TSV
1 - 0
WUR
55%
25%
21%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
GRE
3 - 0
WUR
69%
19%
12%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -2 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
WUR
1 - 2
HEI
57%
21%
22%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
WUR
1 - 5
TSG
54%
23%
24%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
BAY
2 - 0
HEI
74%
17%
10%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
BAY
3 - 0
EIN
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
BAY
1 - 0
UNT
72%
18%
10%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
MEM
1 - 7
BAY
41%
26%
34%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
BAY
5 - 1
BAY
75%
16%
8%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | +1 |