Würmla vs Horn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
55.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Würmla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2007 |
FAC
4 - 0
WUR
79%
14%
7%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
WUR
3 - 1
FCW
39%
26%
34%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2007 |
SKN
2 - 1
WUR
81%
13%
6%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
WUR
4 - 1
SCH
59%
22%
19%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2007 |
WIE
2 - 4
WUR
78%
15%
7%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Horn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2007 |
SVH
6 - 1
EIS
77%
15%
8%
|
51 | 28 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2007 |
AWM
3 - 0
SVH
54%
24%
23%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
SVH
1 - 1
VIE
57%
22%
21%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
WIE
1 - 2
SVH
14%
22%
64%
|
52 | 28 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2007 |
SVH
1 - 0
RAP
69%
19%
13%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | -1 |