Würmla vs St. Peter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
29.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Würmla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
WUR
0 - 5
GAF
22%
22%
56%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
LEO
1 - 4
WUR
62%
20%
18%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
WUR
2 - 4
SCR
17%
22%
61%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
SCH
2 - 0
WUR
73%
17%
10%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
WUR
2 - 3
ARD
44%
25%
31%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
St. Peter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
SVS
2 - 1
STP
32%
24%
44%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
STP
2 - 4
KOT
43%
24%
34%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
GOT
1 - 1
STP
63%
20%
17%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
STP
1 - 0
ZWE
46%
22%
32%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
BAD
2 - 1
STP
62%
20%
18%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |