Wulfrath vs Kapellen-Erft analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
61.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wulfrath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
HAM
0 - 2
WUL
83%
12%
5%
|
14 | 38 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
SPE
1 - 0
WUL
81%
12%
7%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
SON
3 - 1
WUL
75%
16%
10%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
WUP
3 - 0
WUL
77%
15%
8%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
WUL
0 - 3
SFB
17%
21%
62%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Kapellen-Erft
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
KAP
2 - 1
KFI
72%
17%
11%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
KAP
0 - 3
WUP
49%
24%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
KAP
1 - 1
JDH
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
VFB
1 - 2
KAP
35%
24%
41%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
KAP
3 - 0
BOS
66%
19%
15%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |