Wuhan Three Towns vs Cangzhou Mighty Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
12.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
8º
16º
11º
29
4º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wuhan Three Towns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
WFC
0 - 1
BEI
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 3
WFC
18%
24%
58%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
SHA
3 - 1
WFC
58%
23%
20%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
ALA
3 - 1
WFC
50%
24%
26%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
WFC
1 - 1
POH
44%
24%
32%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
SJF
2 - 2
SHI
49%
25%
27%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
SHI
1 - 0
CBC
18%
25%
57%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SHI
0 - 2
BEI
17%
24%
60%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
SHI
0 - 0
QIN
27%
27%
46%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
HAN
6 - 1
SHI
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | -1 |