Hubei Istar vs Wenzhou FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
11.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
7º
8º
8º
25
5º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
45 | 18 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 16 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
49 | 13 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 13 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 10 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
25 | 8 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 7 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
23 | 4 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hubei Istar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
YUN
1 - 1
WCH
37%
26%
37%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 0
WCH
23%
26%
51%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
WCH
0 - 5
CHO
50%
25%
26%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
ZQF
0 - 1
WCH
37%
26%
37%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
WCH
4 - 1
TTF
24%
25%
51%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Wenzhou FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
JIA
2 - 0
BIT
21%
20%
58%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
JIA
0 - 0
QFC
16%
24%
61%
|
25 | 49 | 24 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
DAL
2 - 0
JIA
69%
17%
14%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
HBF
3 - 0
JIA
71%
16%
13%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
JIA
0 - 3
YUN
24%
21%
55%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -2 |