FC Hertha Wels vs St. Marienkirchen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.7%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.4%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.3%
6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Hertha Wels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
NEU
2 - 1
HER
15%
19%
66%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
HER
1 - 4
WAL
82%
11%
6%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
BAD
1 - 0
HER
12%
17%
71%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
HER
1 - 1
WEL
84%
11%
5%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
SSM
2 - 1
HER
15%
18%
67%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | -2 |
Matches
St. Marienkirchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 3
40%
22%
38%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
UNP
3 - 0
MAR
50%
22%
29%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
MAR
3 - 1
UNI
35%
22%
43%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
VOC
4 - 0
MAR
78%
14%
8%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
NEU
6 - 2
MAR
38%
22%
40%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |