Manitoba vs Thunder Bay Chill analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.1%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.1%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.8%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.7%
80.2%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.8%
0-3
12.3%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
17.3%
0-4
7.8%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10.2%
0-5
3.9%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.9%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manitoba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2019 |
WSA
0 - 2
KCF
8%
15%
77%
|
11 | 40 | 29 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2019 |
WSA
0 - 2
GBV
7%
14%
79%
|
11 | 35 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
WSA
0 - 3
STL
9%
15%
77%
|
12 | 29 | 17 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2019 |
WSA
2 - 3
DES
6%
15%
80%
|
13 | 51 | 38 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2019 |
WSA
0 - 4
DES
6%
15%
80%
|
14 | 50 | 36 | -1 |
Matches
Thunder Bay Chill
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2019 |
GBV
2 - 1
THU
27%
21%
52%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
DES
2 - 0
THU
64%
21%
15%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2019 |
DES
3 - 0
THU
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2019 |
THU
1 - 0
KCF
63%
21%
17%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2019 |
THU
2 - 1
STL
80%
13%
7%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |