Manitoba vs Thunder Bay Chill analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
69.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manitoba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2014 |
STL
3 - 3
WSA
76%
15%
9%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 2
WSA
78%
14%
8%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2014 |
SPR
1 - 0
WSA
62%
21%
18%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
THU
6 - 2
WSA
84%
12%
5%
|
22 | 57 | 35 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
THU
1 - 1
WSA
84%
12%
5%
|
21 | 57 | 36 | +1 |
Matches
Thunder Bay Chill
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2013 |
THU
1 - 3
AUS
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
THU
2 - 0
VIC
69%
19%
12%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2013 |
THU
3 - 0
FOR
57%
22%
21%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
THU
1 - 0
MIC
38%
26%
37%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
THU
6 - 2
WSA
84%
12%
5%
|
57 | 22 | 35 | 0 |