Wroxham vs Tilbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
29.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wroxham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2014 |
YEL
1 - 0
WRO
65%
19%
17%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
HAR
3 - 0
WRO
70%
17%
14%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
WRO
4 - 3
WAL
48%
21%
31%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
WRO
3 - 0
SOH
14%
17%
68%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | +5 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
WRO
1 - 2
WHI
16%
18%
66%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2014 |
TIL
2 - 0
RED
42%
24%
34%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
TIL
0 - 2
HEY
22%
23%
55%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
AVE
2 - 0
TIL
51%
22%
26%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2014 |
WAL
2 - 2
TIL
44%
24%
33%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
ERI
0 - 2
TIL
18%
20%
62%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |