Wroxham vs AFC Hayes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
43.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wroxham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
WRO
4 - 1
WAR
50%
22%
28%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
ROM
0 - 1
WRO
70%
17%
13%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
WRO
3 - 3
WAL
60%
20%
20%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
WRO
0 - 1
WHI
48%
23%
30%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
POT
2 - 1
WRO
65%
19%
16%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
AFC Hayes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
BUR
2 - 1
AFH
55%
23%
23%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2012 |
AFH
3 - 4
GUI
67%
18%
16%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
WOD
1 - 3
AFH
28%
25%
48%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
AFH
0 - 6
NOR
48%
23%
30%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
FLE
0 - 3
AFH
23%
24%
54%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +2 |