Checkatrade Trophy Semi-finals
Global 6-3
Wrexham AFC vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
24.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
HAR
4 - 6
WRE
62%
20%
18%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
WRE
0 - 0
MKD
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2005 |
WRE
2 - 2
COL
41%
26%
33%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
HUL
2 - 1
WRE
58%
22%
20%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2005 |
OLD
3 - 5
WRE
61%
21%
19%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
OLD
3 - 0
POR
57%
23%
21%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
HUR
2 - 1
OLD
46%
26%
28%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2005 |
BRI
5 - 1
OLD
58%
24%
19%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
OLD
1 - 2
STO
66%
19%
15%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2005 |
OLD
3 - 5
WRE
61%
21%
19%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |