Wrexham AFC vs Gresley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
11.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
WRE
2 - 0
FOR
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
DAR
1 - 5
WRE
34%
27%
40%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
KID
3 - 1
WRE
62%
22%
16%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2013 |
WRE
3 - 2
GAT
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
WRE
3 - 1
ALF
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
GRE
2 - 1
ROM
68%
19%
13%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
SHE
2 - 4
GRE
48%
24%
28%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 1
CAR
50%
23%
27%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2013 |
SUT
2 - 3
GRE
55%
22%
24%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
GRE
2 - 0
TRA
34%
24%
42%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +2 |