Wrexham AFC vs Gainsborough Trinity analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
WOK
0 - 1
WRE
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
WRE
3 - 3
GUI
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
DOV
2 - 1
WRE
41%
27%
32%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2015 |
WRE
2 - 2
TRA
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
CHE
3 - 2
WRE
30%
26%
44%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Gainsborough Trinity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
BRA
3 - 2
GAI
28%
25%
47%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
DRO
3 - 4
GAI
30%
23%
47%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
GAI
0 - 1
STO
55%
24%
22%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
GAI
2 - 0
BOS
38%
26%
36%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
GLO
0 - 2
GAI
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |