Wrexham AFC vs Ebbsfleet United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2009 |
BUR
2 - 1
WRE
54%
23%
23%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
WRE
3 - 2
GRA
60%
24%
17%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
LEW
0 - 2
WRE
21%
25%
54%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
WOR
1 - 3
WRE
32%
24%
44%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2009 |
WRE
3 - 3
NOR
64%
22%
15%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Ebbsfleet United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
EBB
2 - 0
SWI
56%
22%
22%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2009 |
EBB
4 - 4
CRA
32%
28%
40%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
WOK
1 - 0
EBB
38%
26%
35%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
EBB
1 - 0
RUS
42%
27%
31%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2009 |
EBB
2 - 1
STA
30%
24%
46%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |