Worthing vs Wingate & Finchley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.7%
Win probability
3.24
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.5%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
10%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10%
5.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
WOR
1 - 1
POT
77%
15%
9%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
KIN
0 - 0
WOR
35%
25%
40%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2020 |
LEW
1 - 3
WOR
14%
19%
68%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
WOR
0 - 1
FOL
53%
22%
25%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
WOR
1 - 2
CRA
64%
19%
17%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
WIN
1 - 1
LEW
55%
22%
23%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
FOL
0 - 1
WIN
83%
11%
6%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
WIN
2 - 2
BOW
26%
24%
50%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
WIN
2 - 1
EAS
12%
18%
70%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | +3 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
BIS
0 - 1
WIN
74%
15%
11%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +1 |