Worthing vs Wingate & Finchley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
20%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
WOR
2 - 2
BRI
75%
15%
10%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
ENF
0 - 1
WOR
40%
23%
38%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
WOR
1 - 0
NEE
56%
21%
24%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
HEN
4 - 3
WOR
62%
20%
18%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
WOR
3 - 2
MER
62%
19%
19%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2018 |
ROY
1 - 2
WIN
57%
21%
22%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
WIN
2 - 2
BAR
63%
19%
18%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
HAR
0 - 1
WIN
48%
22%
30%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
WIN
2 - 0
DOR
40%
24%
36%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +2 |
| 19 Apr. 2018 |
DOR
2 - 2
WIN
61%
20%
19%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |