Worthing vs Three Bridges analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
20.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
EAS
2 - 4
WOR
17%
18%
65%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
WOR
0 - 1
FAV
43%
23%
34%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
WOR
2 - 0
WAL
75%
15%
10%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
COR
2 - 0
WOR
26%
23%
51%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2015 |
WOR
2 - 1
BOG
41%
24%
35%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Three Bridges
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
THR
3 - 0
WHI
52%
22%
27%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
DOR
3 - 1
THR
74%
15%
11%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 1
THR
26%
22%
52%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
THR
1 - 2
GUE
48%
21%
32%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
THR
3 - 2
CAR
74%
15%
10%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |