Worthing vs Harrow Borough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
25.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
WOR
1 - 1
LEI
36%
22%
42%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
THA
1 - 0
WOR
30%
20%
50%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -3 |
| 07 Nov. 2017 |
WOR
3 - 1
DOR
43%
23%
34%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +3 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
NEE
0 - 2
WOR
60%
20%
20%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
WOR
3 - 0
LOW
32%
23%
46%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +4 |
Matches
Harrow Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2017 |
HAR
1 - 2
STA
24%
23%
53%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
HAR
3 - 4
DOR
39%
25%
36%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
| 14 Nov. 2017 |
DUL
2 - 0
HAR
79%
13%
8%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
THU
2 - 0
HAR
39%
23%
38%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
TOO
5 - 2
HAR
44%
23%
33%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |