Worthing vs Folkestone Invicta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
22.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
WOR
1 - 1
HOR
50%
23%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
WOR
4 - 0
LEA
88%
8%
4%
|
48 | 23 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 1
WOR
29%
23%
49%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2022 |
WOR
3 - 1
HOR
76%
15%
9%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2021 |
BOG
1 - 3
WOR
29%
23%
48%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Folkestone Invicta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
FOL
1 - 0
WIN
77%
14%
9%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
WRE
5 - 1
FOL
48%
25%
28%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2022 |
FOL
3 - 0
LEA
84%
11%
5%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 1
FOL
20%
22%
58%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -2 |
| 27 Dec. 2021 |
FOL
6 - 1
MER
75%
16%
9%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |