Worthing vs Folkestone Invicta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
40.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
WOR
3 - 2
SIT
57%
21%
22%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
RAM
3 - 0
WOR
59%
21%
20%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2013 |
WOR
4 - 2
FAV
34%
24%
41%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +3 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
YEL
2 - 0
WOR
50%
24%
26%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
MER
1 - 2
WOR
64%
19%
17%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Folkestone Invicta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
FOL
2 - 0
KIN
27%
24%
49%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
RED
0 - 1
FOL
27%
23%
50%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
FOL
1 - 0
WHI
57%
22%
21%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2013 |
HAS
3 - 0
FOL
55%
23%
22%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
FOL
6 - 0
WAL
65%
21%
15%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |