Worthing vs Dorking Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
27.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
WOR
1 - 2
CHE
72%
16%
12%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
HOR
1 - 3
WOR
25%
23%
51%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
HAY
0 - 3
WOR
45%
22%
32%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
WOR
2 - 1
POT
74%
16%
10%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2021 |
WIN
1 - 3
WOR
13%
19%
68%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Dorking Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
SLO
2 - 1
DOR
21%
23%
56%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
HEM
2 - 2
DOR
11%
19%
71%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
DOR
1 - 0
DAR
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
DOR
4 - 3
EAS
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
MAI
0 - 2
DOR
39%
25%
37%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |