Worthing vs Chipstead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.2%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
15.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
BUR
4 - 1
WOR
63%
20%
17%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
PEA
6 - 0
WOR
73%
15%
12%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
TOO
2 - 1
WOR
48%
22%
30%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
WOR
2 - 3
HAS
41%
25%
35%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
RED
3 - 1
WOR
24%
22%
54%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Chipstead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
CHI
0 - 3
LEA
20%
22%
58%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
CHI
3 - 4
THR
62%
19%
19%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2013 |
CHI
2 - 3
HYT
34%
24%
42%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
CHI
4 - 2
FOL
17%
22%
61%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | +3 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
COR
3 - 4
CHI
59%
21%
21%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |