Worthing vs Chipstead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
19.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
TOW
2 - 2
WOR
22%
23%
55%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
WHI
1 - 1
WOR
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
WOR
4 - 1
SIT
71%
17%
12%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
WOR
0 - 0
WAL
78%
14%
8%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2012 |
MAI
0 - 0
WOR
41%
25%
33%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Chipstead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
COR
1 - 1
CHI
42%
23%
35%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 1
HYT
45%
23%
32%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
WAL
1 - 4
CHI
27%
25%
48%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 0
CRA
60%
21%
19%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 0
WAL
63%
21%
17%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |