Worthing vs Chipstead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.2%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
12.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2010 |
WOR
1 - 3
LEA
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
WOR
2 - 2
RAM
57%
22%
21%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2010 |
WOR
1 - 4
BUR
59%
22%
20%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
WOR
1 - 1
DUL
66%
20%
14%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2009 |
BUR
3 - 1
WOR
28%
25%
47%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Chipstead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
CHI
1 - 0
CHA
38%
24%
38%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
WHY
0 - 2
CHI
58%
23%
20%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +2 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
CHI
1 - 2
FLE
17%
21%
62%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
FOL
2 - 1
CHI
66%
21%
13%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2010 |
CHI
1 - 1
DUL
35%
25%
40%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |