Worthing vs Canvey Island analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.5%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.2%
8.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
GRA
1 - 4
WOR
15%
20%
65%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2017 |
WOR
1 - 1
BOG
45%
24%
31%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2016 |
WOR
3 - 0
TON
54%
22%
24%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +2 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
BUR
0 - 1
WOR
29%
23%
49%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
LOW
0 - 4
WOR
42%
24%
35%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Canvey Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
CAN
1 - 0
DUL
17%
22%
61%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2017 |
HAR
2 - 2
CAN
79%
14%
8%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 2016 |
YEL
1 - 1
CAN
71%
17%
12%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
CAN
1 - 2
BIL
33%
24%
44%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
CAN
2 - 2
MER
23%
22%
55%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | +1 |