Worthing vs AFC Wimbledon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
38.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
WEF
2 - 1
WOR
18%
24%
58%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
WOR
3 - 1
WEA
68%
19%
13%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2006 |
WOR
4 - 0
FAF
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 Dec. 2005 |
BRO
1 - 2
WOR
44%
25%
32%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
LFC
1 - 0
WOR
37%
25%
38%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
FOL
1 - 0
AFC
22%
26%
53%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2006 |
STA
0 - 3
AFC
33%
27%
40%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2005 |
AFC
2 - 1
WAL
64%
22%
14%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
AFC
2 - 1
HEN
68%
20%
12%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
AFC
0 - 0
LFC
68%
20%
13%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |