Worthing vs AFC Sudbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.7%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
10.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
CRA
2 - 2
WOR
57%
21%
22%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2019 |
POT
1 - 1
WOR
42%
26%
33%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
WOR
2 - 1
WAL
67%
18%
15%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2019 |
WOR
1 - 1
CAR
35%
24%
41%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
WOR
3 - 0
BRI
75%
14%
11%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
YEL
2 - 1
CAN
35%
23%
43%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
YEL
2 - 0
HAR
20%
20%
60%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
YEL
2 - 4
SOH
37%
23%
40%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
VCD
1 - 4
YEL
67%
19%
14%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
BRE
3 - 1
YEL
53%
22%
25%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |