Worthing vs AFC Sudbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
12.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
MER
1 - 2
WOR
67%
18%
15%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
LEI
2 - 0
WOR
67%
18%
15%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
WOR
0 - 1
LOW
49%
22%
29%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
HAR
2 - 2
WOR
50%
23%
28%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2017 |
CAN
2 - 0
WOR
35%
23%
43%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
YEL
0 - 4
HEN
32%
23%
46%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
YEL
1 - 3
HAR
26%
22%
51%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
HAV
6 - 0
YEL
76%
16%
8%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2017 |
WIN
4 - 1
YEL
67%
19%
14%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
YEL
3 - 1
FOL
36%
24%
41%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +2 |