Workington vs Runcorn Linnets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
32.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Workington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
RAM
0 - 3
WOR
19%
21%
60%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SOU
3 - 2
WOR
60%
21%
19%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
WOR
0 - 1
CLI
54%
24%
22%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
WIT
3 - 2
WOR
22%
22%
55%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
WOR
2 - 1
TRA
78%
15%
8%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Runcorn Linnets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
SKE
1 - 4
RUN
42%
23%
35%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 1
RUN
58%
22%
20%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
RUN
1 - 0
WIT
64%
20%
16%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
PRE
1 - 0
RUN
22%
23%
55%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -2 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
RUN
0 - 0
HAN
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |