Workington vs Pontefract Collieries analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.7%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
67.4%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Workington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
NEW
1 - 0
WOR
42%
23%
36%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2019 |
TRA
0 - 1
WOR
59%
22%
20%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
WOR
4 - 1
PIC
58%
20%
22%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +2 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
ATH
0 - 0
WOR
72%
18%
11%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
WOR
1 - 3
BAR
14%
22%
64%
|
24 | 50 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Pontefract Collieries
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
PON
1 - 1
HEB
74%
15%
10%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2019 |
PON
1 - 0
TAD
50%
25%
25%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
RUN
1 - 1
PON
36%
22%
43%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
PON
1 - 0
FRI
61%
19%
20%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
PON
0 - 3
BRI
51%
21%
28%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |