Workington vs Gainsborough Trinity analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
49.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Workington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2019 |
WOR
0 - 2
SOU
10%
18%
73%
|
28 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
WIT
2 - 0
WOR
70%
18%
13%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2019 |
WOR
0 - 1
MIC
55%
22%
23%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
WOR
2 - 4
NAN
20%
22%
58%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -2 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
WHI
0 - 1
WOR
65%
19%
16%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Gainsborough Trinity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
GAI
1 - 0
HYD
48%
23%
29%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
WAR
2 - 1
GAI
68%
20%
12%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
GAI
0 - 1
MAR
65%
19%
16%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
BAS
0 - 1
GAI
63%
19%
18%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
GAI
2 - 1
BAM
60%
20%
20%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |