Wörgl vs St. Johann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
31.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wörgl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
WOR
0 - 1
DOR
53%
21%
26%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
WOR
4 - 1
HAR
40%
22%
38%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
PIN
2 - 1
WOR
35%
22%
44%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
WOR
0 - 1
SCH
39%
22%
39%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
ANI
3 - 0
WOR
86%
9%
4%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
St. Johann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
STJ
0 - 4
WAL
42%
23%
36%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
DOR
2 - 0
STJ
38%
24%
38%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2017 |
STJ
3 - 1
KUF
48%
22%
30%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
HAR
4 - 4
STJ
46%
24%
30%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
STJ
1 - 2
HOH
51%
22%
28%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |