Wörgl vs Schwaz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
61.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
10º
10º
36
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wörgl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
TEL
10 - 0
WOR
52%
20%
28%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
WOR
0 - 2
REI
41%
24%
35%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FUG
3 - 1
WOR
39%
23%
38%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
WOR
1 - 7
MOT
58%
21%
22%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -2 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
WOR
2 - 2
HAL
86%
9%
5%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Schwaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SCH
6 - 0
HAL
89%
9%
3%
|
51 | 26 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
WAT
2 - 3
SCH
17%
21%
63%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SCH
1 - 2
KUF
65%
19%
16%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
KIT
4 - 0
SCH
20%
23%
58%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | -2 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
SCH
2 - 0
KUN
89%
8%
3%
|
53 | 29 | 24 | 0 |