Wörgl vs Kundl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.7%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
12.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
10º
12º
12º
14
1º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
14 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wörgl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
TEL
4 - 0
WOR
70%
17%
13%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
WOR
3 - 3
VOL
67%
17%
16%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
IAC
1 - 3
WOR
33%
20%
47%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
WOR
1 - 3
WAT
33%
23%
45%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
STJ
3 - 0
WOR
17%
19%
64%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Kundl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
KUN
0 - 1
FUG
9%
17%
74%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
TEL
1 - 0
KUN
82%
12%
6%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -2 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
KUN
3 - 0
KEM
53%
22%
25%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
VOL
0 - 2
KUN
52%
22%
26%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
EBB
3 - 2
KUN
39%
24%
37%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |