Wörgl vs Kufstein analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
33.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
10º
10º
45
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wörgl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
WOR
0 - 2
KUN
87%
10%
3%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
WOR
2 - 1
IMS
30%
23%
47%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
SCH
4 - 0
WOR
63%
20%
18%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
WOR
2 - 0
TEL
61%
20%
19%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
REI
0 - 2
WOR
48%
22%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Kufstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
KUF
2 - 0
WAT
73%
16%
11%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
KUF
2 - 1
MOT
62%
20%
18%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
KIT
0 - 2
KUF
48%
23%
29%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
KUF
3 - 0
KUN
80%
13%
8%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
IMS
5 - 0
KUF
70%
17%
14%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |