Wörgl vs Kitzbühel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
19%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wörgl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2016 |
WOR
7 - 4
IMS
87%
9%
4%
|
43 | 21 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
KIR
2 - 3
WOR
18%
19%
64%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2016 |
WOR
1 - 1
WAT
83%
11%
6%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
MOT
2 - 4
WOR
10%
16%
74%
|
43 | 19 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2016 |
WOR
2 - 1
SVI
83%
11%
6%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Kitzbühel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2016 |
KIT
8 - 1
KIR
69%
18%
13%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2016 |
TSV
2 - 0
KIT
32%
23%
44%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
KIT
2 - 1
SWB
47%
22%
31%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
REI
1 - 5
KIT
25%
22%
53%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2016 |
KIT
0 - 3
PIN
58%
21%
21%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -2 |