Wörgl vs Kirchbichl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.7%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
12.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-88%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wörgl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
SVA
3 - 0
WOR
16%
21%
63%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
WOR
0 - 3
SVK
83%
12%
6%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2009 |
WOR
0 - 3
SVI
79%
14%
7%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
KUN
3 - 0
WOR
54%
21%
25%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -2 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
IAC
3 - 0
WOR
29%
22%
49%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Kirchbichl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
KIR
0 - 3
RUI
56%
22%
22%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2009 |
JEN
0 - 3
KIR
34%
25%
42%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2009 |
KIR
3 - 0
SVA
68%
18%
14%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
KIR
2 - 0
SVL
44%
24%
32%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
SVK
3 - 0
KIR
23%
23%
54%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | -1 |