Wörgl vs Kematen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
47.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
10º
12º
12º
27
6º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wörgl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
EBB
0 - 0
WOR
63%
19%
18%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
WOR
2 - 4
KIT
19%
23%
59%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
FCV
3 - 1
WOR
69%
19%
12%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
KUN
1 - 0
WOR
18%
19%
62%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
WOR
1 - 4
TEL
25%
23%
53%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Kematen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
KEM
2 - 1
TEL
27%
21%
52%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
VOL
3 - 2
KEM
49%
21%
29%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
KEM
1 - 0
IAC
46%
21%
33%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
WAT
5 - 0
KEM
73%
16%
11%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
KEM
1 - 1
STJ
38%
23%
40%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |