Wörgl vs Jenbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.3%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.6%
5.1%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wörgl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
KIR
4 - 0
WOR
11%
18%
71%
|
45 | 17 | 28 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
WOR
3 - 4
SVA
85%
11%
4%
|
45 | 10 | 35 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
SVK
2 - 1
WOR
9%
17%
75%
|
47 | 12 | 35 | -2 |
| 14 Aug. 2008 |
WOR
1 - 2
KUN
80%
14%
6%
|
47 | 21 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2008 |
SVI
1 - 1
WOR
10%
19%
71%
|
51 | 21 | 30 | -4 |
Matches
Jenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
JEN
2 - 0
RUI
30%
25%
45%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
SVL
0 - 3
JEN
32%
25%
43%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
KIR
3 - 2
JEN
51%
23%
26%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2008 |
JEN
1 - 0
SVA
72%
17%
11%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
SVK
1 - 2
JEN
39%
25%
36%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |