Wörgl vs Hard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
38%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wörgl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
PIN
2 - 1
WOR
35%
22%
44%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
WOR
0 - 1
SCH
39%
22%
39%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
ANI
3 - 0
WOR
86%
9%
4%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
WOR
0 - 3
SCR
35%
25%
40%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
KIT
1 - 2
WOR
61%
19%
21%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
HAR
1 - 1
DOR
58%
22%
20%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
HAR
4 - 4
STJ
46%
24%
30%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
PIN
1 - 2
HAR
27%
23%
50%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
HAR
1 - 1
SCH
40%
25%
36%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
ANI
7 - 0
HAR
83%
11%
6%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | -1 |