Wörgl vs Fügen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
56%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
10º
12º
12º
36
2º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wörgl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
KIT
0 - 0
WOR
60%
22%
19%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
WOR
0 - 4
FCV
60%
19%
21%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
WOR
2 - 0
KUN
72%
16%
13%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
TEL
4 - 0
WOR
70%
17%
13%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
WOR
3 - 3
VOL
67%
17%
16%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fügen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
FUG
3 - 3
IAC
76%
15%
9%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
WAT
3 - 1
FUG
29%
23%
47%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
FUG
1 - 4
STJ
85%
11%
4%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
KUN
0 - 1
FUG
9%
17%
74%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
KEM
3 - 2
FUG
6%
15%
79%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | -1 |